This chart, found at Mother Jones, shows the public mood index charted by James Stimson. Stimson is a political science professor at the University of North Carolina. When the index is above the dotted line, the public is in a liberal mood and Democrats usually win. When the index is below the dotted line, the public is in a conservative mood and Republicans usually win.
Currently, the index shows the most liberal mood for the public since World War II. That could spell big trouble for Trump's re-election chances if it stays this way into next year, and maybe for the Republicans running on a ticket headed by Trump.
Any idea why a dot is red or blue? The original Mother Jones article doesn’t explain it in a way I can see. It just says they indicate a mid-term election. I am guessing it shows which way Congress went.
ReplyDeleteThe color of the dot shows which party won the presidential election. For instance, Carter's dot is red showing he lost his re-election bid to a Republican.
ReplyDelete