Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Average Support And Fundraising For Leading Democrats



These charts give us an idea of how the race for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination is going so far. The top chart shows the average poll support (from RealClearPolitics) for the top 10 Democratic candidates. Support is shown for only the candidate receiving an average of polls support of at least 1%.

The second chart shows the amount of money raised by the leading candidates in the 2nd quarter of 2019. Note that only five of the top ten have released their fundraising totals. That probably means the second five are disappointed in the amount they have raised. They have until July 15th to report their totals for the 2nd quarter.

The top fundraiser in the second quarter was Pete Buttigieg, who raised $24.8 million. But he lags far behind in support, and will need every bit of that (and more) if he is to join the top tier of candidates (Biden, Harris, Sanders, and Warren).

Joe Biden raised the second largest amount at $21.5 million, and currently leads in support with 26%.

Elizabeth Warren raised $19.1 million, and has 13.8% average support. All of her money came from individual donors (which is impressive, since she doesn't accept PAC money or hold high-dollar fundraising dinners).

Bernie Sanders raised $18 million, and has 14% average support. In 2016, Sanders was a fund-raising machine -- but with more candidates in the 2020 race, his totals have fallen (and I suspect Warren is getting a lot of the money that might have gone to him).

Kamala Harris raised $12 million, and has 15.2% average support. She received a significant bump in support after the first Democratic debate, but she's going to need to do a better job fundraising if she is to maintain her place among the leaders. That's possible, because $2 million of her donations came in right after the debate.

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