Monday, August 05, 2024
Saturday, November 14, 2020
The Electoral Map Is Complete And Biden Wins 306 To 232
The electoral college map is complete. The state of North Carolina goes into the red column, while Arizona and Georgia go blue. That gives Joe Biden 306 electoral votes to 232 for Donald Trump -- a 74 vote margin for Biden.
With 97% of the nation's vote in, the popular vote has Biden with 77,971,611 (50.8%) and Trump with 72,653,914 (47.4%) -- over a 5.3 million vote margin for Biden.
In January 20th, Joe Biden will become the 46th president of the United States.
Friday, October 09, 2020
The Current Consensus Electoral College Map
This is the consensus electoral college map from Taegan Goddard's website. Here is how they arrived at it:
Our presidential election map is currently based on the consensus of the following forecasts:
- Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, October 8, 2020
- Cook Political Report, September 29, 2020
- First Read, September 8, 2020
- Cook Political Report, July 24, 2020
- Inside Elections, July 17, 2020
We also use the latest polling data from FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics and Electoral-Vote.com.
Friday, September 11, 2020
Consensus Electoral College Map Has Biden With 291 Votes
This is the newest electoral college consensus map. It shows Biden with 291 votes to only 125 for Trump (and five states still undecided -- Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, and Texas).
Here is how the consensus map by Taegan Goddard was formed:
Our interactive presidential election map is currently based on the consensus of the following forecasts:
- Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, September 10, 2020
- First Read, September 8, 2020
- Cook Political Report, July 24, 2020
- Inside Elections, July 17, 2020
- Harry Enten, “Texas is a Swing State”, July 11, 2020
- Bitecofer Model, March 24, 2020
We also use the latest polling data from FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics and Electoral-Vote.com.
Tuesday, August 04, 2020
Consensus Electoral College Map
From Taegan Goddard.
- Cook Political Report, July 24, 2020
- Inside Elections, July 17, 2020
- Harry Enten, “Texas is a Swing State”, July 11, 2020
- Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, June 25, 2020
- Bitecofer Model, March 24, 2020
Monday, July 06, 2020
Electoral College Map For 2020 Now Favors Joe Biden
This map of how the electoral college is predicted to go is from Taegan Goddard. Here's what he had to say about how he arrived at this map.
- Political Wire: The Blue Wall Has Been Rebuilt, June 25, 2020
- Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, June 25, 2020
- Cook Political Report, June 19, 2020
- Inside Elections, April 3, 2020
- Bitecofer Model, March 24, 2020
Saturday, November 17, 2018
Maps Can Hide Or Reveal The Truth
The maps above are from The New York Times. Both show the results of the 2018 congressional elections. But they are also a prime example of how a map can hide as much truth as it reveals.
The top map has an enormous amount of red on it. It gives the impression that most Americans are conservative (and that somehow the Democrats must have connived to win in 2018).
That is simply not true. The second map breaks the country down into congressional districts (roughly equal). Note there is much more blue on this map, because Americans voted to give Democrats a significant majority of those individual congressional districts.
The truth is that most Americans are not conservatives. And in 2018, they showed a definite preference for Democrats.
Wednesday, November 02, 2016
Wednesday, October 26, 2016
Monday, October 24, 2016
Sunday, October 23, 2016
Saturday, October 22, 2016
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
Four UpDated Electoral College Projections For 2016
ABC News ---- Hillary Clinton 273 * Donald Trump 191
CNN News ---- Hillary Clinton 273 * Donald Trump 191
NBC News ---- Hillary Clinton 272 * Donald Trump 174
Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Two New Electoral Maps Show Clinton Winning
These are the latest electoral college maps for the 2016 presidential race. The top map is from fivethirtyeight.com, and the bottom is from ABC News. Both show Clinton getting more than the 270 electoral votes she needs to be elected. It is interesting that ABC thinks Clinton could lose Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, and Nevada, and she would still win.
Friday, August 19, 2016
Three New Electoral College Maps Heavily Favor Clinton
The top map, from fivethirtyeight.com, has Clinton with 365.5 electoral votes -- a lead of 196.6 votes over Trump.
The middle map, from the Princeton Election Consortium, has Clinton with 341 electoral votes -- a lead of 150 votes over Trump.
The bottom map, from the University of Virginia Center for Politics, has Clinton with 348 electoral votes -- a lead of 158 votes over Trump.
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.































