Monday, August 27, 2018
Democrats Still Favored To Win Control Of The House
As long as Democrats (and Independents) actually follow through and go to the polls, it looks like they still have a great chance to flip control of the House of Representatives. The chart above shows the results of the newest NBC News / Wall Street Journal Poll -- done between August 18th and 22nd of a national sample of 900 registered voters, with a margin of error of 3.27 points. It shows the Democrats holding an 8 point advantage right now. But the most remarkable thing is that the Democratic advantage has held pretty steady for the last 16 months.
The chart below is from fivethirtyeight.com. It shows the current prediction for the election is that Democrats have a 5 in 7 (72.7%) chance to win control of the House, while Republicans have a 2 in 7 (27.3%) chance of retaining control. The Democrats are predicted to win 233 seats while the Republicans retain 202 seats.
Obama/Bush To Give McCain Eulogies - Trump NOT Invited


Former presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush have been invited to give eulogies at the funeral of Senator John McCain -- and both have graciously accepted. Although they both ran against McCain in presidential contests, McCain respected them, and they respected him. Both have released statements honoring McCain's service to his country.
Meanwhile Donald Trump tweeted a two sentence condolence, and then repeated it in an Instagram. That Instagram contained picture of Trump -- not McCain. It seems that Trump thinks only of himself.
But McCain gets the final laugh. He made it clear before his death that he did NOT want Trump to attend his funeral.
Here is how Bill Palmer of the Palmer Report describes McCain's last slam of the imbecile living in our White House:
John McCain passed away last night, and in a sign of how most Americans felt about him, the words “American Hero” began trending on Twitter. That placed Donald Trump in a difficult position, as he’d routinely said horrible things about McCain, particularly about his status as a war hero. Trump posted a generic condolence tweet that may or may not have been subtly backhanded, but it was McCain who managed to stick it to Trump in the end.
Senator McCain’s ultimate condemnation of Donald Trump came in two different forms. After Trump treasonously stood next to Russian President Vladimir Putin and sided with him over the United States Government, an ailing McCain released a statement which called it and one of the “most disgraceful performances by an American president in memory” while slamming Trump for being egotistical and “pathetic.” But McCain’s final; proverbial “screw you” to Trump came in the form of something he set up before his death, which will now leave Trump humiliated for all to see.
John McCain told friends months ago that he didn’t want Donald Trump at his funeral. Instead he wanted former President Barack Obama and former President George W. Bush to attend his funeral and deliver the eulogy. McCain famously lost to Bush in the 2000 Republican primary race for President, and then lost to Obama in the 2008 general election for President. Yet McCain chose these two men – one Republican and one Democrat – to eulogize him.
McCain thus ensured that his funeral would be bipartisan and inclusive, making it all the more glaring that current “President” of the United States wasn’t invited. Donald Trump is just barely hanging onto the Oval Office as his various criminal scandals close in on him by the minute. Now a deceased war hero has found a way to stick it to a guy who committed treason.
Sunday, August 26, 2018
Sen. John McCain (American Hero) Has Passed
Senator John McCain has died at the age of 81. I did not usually agree with his policies (especially the economic policies), but I respected him. He was smart, honest, willing to compromise for the good of his country, and a true American hero. I mourn his death.
He was once asked how he would like to be remembered. He said "He served his country -- honorably". That's certainly how I will remember him.
The American Public Says NO To A Pardon For Manafort
As you probably know by now, Paul Manafort (Trump's ex-campaign manager) has been convicted of 8 serious felonies. And he faces more trials.
Donald Trump has been saying nice things about Manafort, and it is believed that he wants to pardon him. So far, advisors have talked him out of doing that, but many in the White House believe Trump will eventually pardon him anyway (maybe after the midterm elections).
If he does, it would be a serious mistake. Only 11% of registered voters would approve of that pardon, while 60% would not. And that goes for every demographic group in the country. Only two groups have less than a majority saying they would disapprove -- Republicans and Trump voters. And even those two groups have more people disapproving than approving.
The chart above is from the newest Politico / Morning Consult Poll -- done on August 23rd and 24th of a national sample of 1,564 registered voters, with a margin of error of 2 points.
CEO's Get 312 Times What An Average Worker Is Paid
The chart above, from the Economic Policy Institute, shows the average CEO compensation compared to the average worker's wage. Currently, a CEO makes about 311.7 times what the average worker does. The CEO's were making even more (343.5) before the Bush Recession. But they have recovered from that recession, and their compensation is once again on the rise.
The same cannot be said for workers. While CEO compensation is rising sharply again, worker wages remain flat.
It was not always this way. Back in the 1960's and 1970's, CEO's made only 20 to 30 times what the average worker made. That's because rising productivity was being shared with workers (thanks to strong unions and a fair government economic policy). Things changed when the Republicans seized control of government and instituted their "trickle-down" economic policy (which favored the rich to the detriment of everyone else).
Note how CEO compensation began to rise sharply after the GOP policies went into effect. Thanks to those policies, productivity no longer had to be shared with workers. Instead it was hogged by executives and stockholders, and workers were left out in the cold (and a middle class that is declining).
We must change this. We need an economic policy that is fair to everyone -- not just the rich. But that won't happen until the Republicans are voted out of power. And the sooner that happens, the better. We already have a huge and growing gap between the rich and the rest of Americans. We need to reverse that gap before we become a third world nation (filled only with haves and have-nots).
If The Republicans Win In November, They're Coming After Social Security And Medicare
Social Security is 83 years old, and Medicare is 52 years old. They are two of the most successful government programs ever passed -- keeping most seniors in America out of abject poverty and protecting their health.
But the Republicans have never liked either program. They voted against their creation, and have been trying to eliminate both ever since. That's because the GOP's constituency is the rich -- people who don't need either program. They don't care about the people who need Social Security and Medicare.
Recently, the Republicans gave the rich a huge tax cut. That cut vastly ballooned the federal deficit to about a trillion dollars a year. They now want to use that to cut Social Security and Medicare (even though Social Security adds nothing to the deficit and Medicare adds very little).
In other words, they want seniors to pay for the huge tax cuts they gave to the rich. Here's how Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman (pictured) describes it:
But the Republicans have never liked either program. They voted against their creation, and have been trying to eliminate both ever since. That's because the GOP's constituency is the rich -- people who don't need either program. They don't care about the people who need Social Security and Medicare.
Recently, the Republicans gave the rich a huge tax cut. That cut vastly ballooned the federal deficit to about a trillion dollars a year. They now want to use that to cut Social Security and Medicare (even though Social Security adds nothing to the deficit and Medicare adds very little).
In other words, they want seniors to pay for the huge tax cuts they gave to the rich. Here's how Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman (pictured) describes it:
In a recent interview with CNBC’s John Harwood, Representative Steve Stivers, the chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee — in effect, the man charged with containing the blue wave — declared that, given the size of the budget deficit, the federal government needs to save money by cutting spending on social programs. When pressed about whether that included Social Security and Medicare, he admitted that it did.
And he’s not alone in seeing major cuts in core programs for older Americans as the next step if Republicans win in November. Many major figures in the G.O.P., including the departing speaker of the House, Paul Ryan, and multiple senators, have said the same thing. (Meanwhile, groups tied to Ryan have been running attack ads accusing Democrats of planning to cut Medicare funding — but hey, consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds. So, apparently, is honesty.)
Now, Republicans who call for cuts in social spending to balance the budget are showing extraordinary chutzpah, which is traditionally defined as what you exhibit when you kill your parents, then plead for mercy because you’re an orphan. After all, the same Republicans now wringing their hands over budget deficits just blew up that same deficit by enacting a huge tax cut for corporations and the wealthy.
So it might seem shocking that only a few months later they’re once again posing as deficit hawks and calling for spending cuts. That is, it might seem shocking if it weren’t for the fact that this has been the G.O.P.’s budget strategy for decades. First, cut taxes. Then, bemoan the deficit created by those tax cuts and demand cuts in social spending. Lather, rinse, repeat.
This strategy, known as “starve the beast,” has been around since the 1970s, when Republican economists like Alan Greenspan and Milton Friedman began declaring that the role of tax cuts in worsening budget deficits was a feature, not a bug. As Greenspan openly put it in 1978, the goal was to rein in spending with tax cuts that reduce revenue, then “trust that there is a political limit to deficit spending.”
It’s true that when tax cuts are on the table their proponents tend to deny that they’ll increase the deficit, claiming that they’ll provide a miraculous boost to the economy and that tax receipts will actually rise. But there’s not a shred of evidence to support this claim, and it has never been clear whether anyone with real political power has ever believed it. For the most part it’s just a smoke screen to help conceal the G.O.P.’s true intentions.
The puzzle is why Republicans keep getting away with this bait-and-switch.
Fifteen years ago I wrote a long piece titled “The Tax-Cut Con,” describing what was even then a time-honored scam; it reads almost word for word as a description of Republican strategy in 2017-18. Yet I keep reading news analyses expressing puzzlement that men who were strident deficit hawks in the Obama years so cheerfully signed on to a budget-busting tax cut under Trump. To say the obvious: These men were never deficit hawks; it was always a pose. . . .
If the G.O.P. holds its majority, Social Security and Medicare as we know them will be very much in danger.
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