Monday, October 26, 2015

New Poll For Iowa, New Hampshire, And South Carolina




The CBS News / YouGov Poll has just released their latest survey for three states. The surveys were done between October 15th and 22nd. They queried 1,342 registered voters in Iowa (4.8 point margin of error), 1,148 registered voters in New Hampshire (5.6 point margin of error), and 1,462 registered voters in South Carolina (4.8 point margin of error). No margin of error was given for just Democrats or Republicans.

This poll has Hillary Clinton with a 3 point lead in Iowa, trailing Sanders by 15 points in New Hampshire, and leading by 43 points in South Carolina. On the Republican side, Donald Trump is tied with Ben Carson in Iowa, but leads him by 26 points in New Hampshire and by 17 points in South Carolina.

Iowa and New Hampshire will be interesting next February because they are the first to choose their delegates, but I'm starting to think that they won't really be a predictor of the final victory in either party.




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