Friday, March 04, 2016

Non-White Voters Are Hurting The Sanders Campaign

These charts were made from NBC's exit polling results in twelve states that have now voted (no exit polling was available for Vermont, Colorado, or Minnesota). The top chart shows the state percentage and percentage of Non-white voters casting their support for Bernie Sanders. A quick perusal of that chart shows that Sanders has not yet broken through with Non-white voters.

He only reached 50% in one state -- New Hampshire (a state in which Non-white voters composed only 7% of the state's voting population). In eight of the 12 states, he did not reach 40% support among Non-whites, and in seven states he did not even reach 30% support. This is simply not going to fly, since Non-white voters have a big say in who will be the Democratic nominee.

The chart at the bottom shows the results among White voters in those same twelve states. And Sanders is not doing well enough among White voters to offset his clear disadvantage among Non-white voters. He reached 50% in only three of those states. In the other nine states, he got less than 50% support from White voters.

I know Sanders' supporters are still holding out for something to happen -- for their "revolution" to take hold. But I just don't see it happening. It would take nothing short of a miracle for Sanders to win the Democratic nomination at this point -- and that is largely due to his failure to convince Non-White voters that he has their best interests at heart.

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