Some Exit Poll Results From New Hampshire GOP Primary

 From The Washington Post.

Young Voters Are Voting More And Voting Left

 

The charts above are from Axios.com. The figures are from exit poll data from John Della Volpe. These figures shows that young voters (18-29) are voting more now, and they are mainly voting for Democrats (60% to 36%).

This is good, because political scientists have shown that lifetime voting habits are set in youth years, and these voters will likely vote that same way as they grow older.

This is one reason why Republicans want to suppress the votes of young voters.

Exit Poll: Demographics Of Voting In Texas Senate Race

These charts are from exit polling by CNN in the race for the Senate in Texas. It shows the percentage of the vote by each demographic group, and the percentage of that groups voting for O'Rourke (D) or Cruz (R).

I found the last chart pretty interesting. It seems that voters born in Texas had a majority voting for O'Rourke, while voters born elsewhere who moved to Texas voted in the majority for Cruz. That's just the opposite of what I think most people would have thought.

Exit Polls Shows Demographic Breakdown Of 2018 Voting

The following charts (from CNN) show the exit polling for the 2018 congressional election. It shows the percentage of the vote that each group had -- and the percentage of that group that voted for the Democrats or Republicans.

The Future Is NOT Dim For The Democratic Party

Ever since it was known that Donald Trump had won the presidential election (thanks to the archaic electoral college), some media and political pundits have been trying to write an obituary for the Democratic Party. They want you to believe the Democratic Party is in disarray, and could be a dying institution. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

First, a couple of reminders. Donald Trump actually lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton (the Democratic candidate) -- and it was by a pretty substantial margin (nearly 3 million votes). Trump won because he got a razor-thin majority in a few states -- enough for an electoral college victory.

The future is actually pretty bright for Democrats. Look at the exit polls above (from cnn.com). Trump's biggest support came from Whites and older Americans. He led among White by 20 points and by those 45 & older by 8 points. Guess what -- both of those groups are shrinking. Whites become a smaller portion of the electorate with each election, and those over age 45 will die off.

Meanwhile, Clinton (i.e., the Democrats) did better among Non-whites and younger voters. She led among Non-whites by a staggering 53 points, and among those under age 45 by 14 points -- and both of those groups are growing in size. With each passing election, Non-whites make up a larger percentage of the electorate, and as older voters die off they are being replaced by younger voters (who can't abide the Republican Party's social or economic agendas).

The Democrats didn't do a very good job of effectively communicating how their policies are better for workers (and all Americans) -- and they need to do a better job of that in the future. But the demographics are with them. If they can combine those good demographics with a better communication to voters (and I believe they can), then the future is actually quite bright for the Democratic Party.

National Exit Polling For 2016 Presidential Election

I thought you might be interested in the results from the exit polls. It can give a pretty good idea of which groups supported which candidate. The national exit polling shown in the chart above is from ABC News.

Non-White Voters Are Hurting The Sanders Campaign

These charts were made from NBC's exit polling results in twelve states that have now voted (no exit polling was available for Vermont, Colorado, or Minnesota). The top chart shows the state percentage and percentage of Non-white voters casting their support for Bernie Sanders. A quick perusal of that chart shows that Sanders has not yet broken through with Non-white voters.

He only reached 50% in one state -- New Hampshire (a state in which Non-white voters composed only 7% of the state's voting population). In eight of the 12 states, he did not reach 40% support among Non-whites, and in seven states he did not even reach 30% support. This is simply not going to fly, since Non-white voters have a big say in who will be the Democratic nominee.

The chart at the bottom shows the results among White voters in those same twelve states. And Sanders is not doing well enough among White voters to offset his clear disadvantage among Non-white voters. He reached 50% in only three of those states. In the other nine states, he got less than 50% support from White voters.

I know Sanders' supporters are still holding out for something to happen -- for their "revolution" to take hold. But I just don't see it happening. It would take nothing short of a miracle for Sanders to win the Democratic nomination at this point -- and that is largely due to his failure to convince Non-White voters that he has their best interests at heart.