Monday, August 08, 2016

Presidential Polls In Virginia, Nevada, And Arizona


Chart is from a CBS News / YouGov Battleground Poll -- done between August 2nd and 5th of a random sample of 1,181 Virginia voters, with a margin of error of 3.7 points.


Chart is from a CBS News / YouGov Battleground Poll -- done between August 2nd and 5th of a random sample of 993 Nevada voters, with a margin of error of 4.6 points.


Chart is from a CBS News / YouGov Battleground Poll -- done between August 2nd and 5th of a random sample of 1095 Arizona voters, with a margin of error of 4.8 points.

Hillary Clinton is doing very well in Virginia -- with a 12 point lead over Donald Trump. Nevada and Arizona are much closer. Clinton has a 2 point lead in Nevada and Trump has a two point lead in Arizona. Both of those margins are well within the poll's margins of error, meaning those two states could go either way. Nevada was expected to be close, but Arizona was supposed to be solidly in the GOP camp. The fact that it isn't should worry Trump supporters.

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