Supporters of Fred Thompson says he will officially enter the race for the Republican nomination for president on September 6th. That could be the final death knell for the dying campaign of Senator John McCain.
A few months ago, McCain was considered the front-runner to get the nomination. But since the campaigning began in earnest, he has been slipping badly in the polls. At best, he is now in fourth place behind Romney, Giuliani, and Thompson, and I wouldn't be surprised if Ron Paul beat him in some primaries (Paul's supporters are much more enthusiastic than McCain's).
How bad is it for McCain? Well, it's so bad that his support in his own home state of Arizona has been slipping away since the first of this year. In February, McCain had the support of 44% of his fellow Arizonans. In late April, that support was down to 32%. It now stands at 24%. He is barely ahead of the competition there (Romney 19%, Giuliani 18% and Thompson 17%).
If he's slipping that badly in his home state, how can he expect to win in the rest of the country? I must admit I don't understand the campaign he is running. He just spent a bunch of money making a film about his being a POW. I hope he doesn't expect that to help his campaign. Anyone who doesn't already know that probably doesn't care enough about politics to be a voter. Surely he's not going for sympathy votes!
I know that the major candidates are all hoping to win in the early primary states (and Texas in not one of those), but I think McCain made a mistake in not coming to Texas for the Republican straw poll. With his campaign going in the dumper, he really needs something to pick it up -- anything. If he had bothered to come down, the Texas right-wingers might have rewarded him for supporting Bush's war.
Surely, he wasn't afraid of losing to Duncan Hunter -- or was he?
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