Thursday, August 29, 2019

New Poll Shows Trump In Deep Trouble Electorally


All of these charts reflect the results of the new Quinnipiac University Poll -- done between August 21st and 26th of a national sample of 1,422 registered voters, with a margin of error of 3.1 points.

The top chart shows how Trump would do against the five leading Democrats right now. It's not good. He would lose to Biden by 16 points, to Sanders by 14 points, to Warren by 12 points, to Harris by 11 points, and to Buttigieg by 9 points -- all beyond the poll's margin of error.

How can this be? Don't we have a good economy? Isn't a good economy supposed to benefit the occupant of the White House?

It is a good economy, if you are rich. It's not so good for most workers, and it looks like they are starting to realize it.

Note the charts below. For the first time in a couple of years, a plurality (37%) see the economy as getting worse -- not better. And about half of Americans (49%) currently disapprove of how Trump is handling the economy.

Those numbers will get even worse if his trade war with China sends the country into a recession -- and that is distinctly possible. The business community is getting worried, and so are investors (which is why the stock market has been so chaotic lately. Now this poll shows a lot of others are also starting to worry.

Trump told the world at the G7 that China had made numerous calls to him wanting to make a deal. That was a lie! China says there were NO calls made. In fact, it is starting to look like China has decided to wait until the next election to see if Trump is replaced by someone easier to deal with -- someone that can be trusted to keep their word.

It is starting to look like the economy is not going to be a help to Trump in the next election.





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