Thursday, September 26, 2024

The Big Mystery Of 2024

 

Only 28% Of Republicans Are Confident In Election Accuracy


The chart above is from the Gallup Poll -- done between September 3rd and 15th of a nationwide sample of 1,007 adults, with a 4 point margin of error.
 

The Huge Hall Of Trump Failures

Political Cartoon is by Dave Whamond at Cagle.com.
 

Harris Has A 6 Point Lead In The New Reuters/Ipsos Poll

The chart above reflects the results of the Reuters / Ipsos Poll -- done on September 11th and 12th of a nationwide sample of 871 registered voters, with a 4 point margin of error.

 

It Was Also A Lie When Trump Said It

Political Cartoon is by Clay Jones at claytoonz.com.
 

Women Will Have No Problems If Trump's Elected (Satire)

 

Alexandra Petri responds to Trump's promise to solve all women's problems with this delicious bit of satire in The Washington Post:

It is so much nicer being a woman, now that Donald Trump is in charge!

You barely remember the Biden times at all, except in nightmares. In the dreams, regular eggs cost as much as FabergĂ© eggs. All the food at the grocery store is too expensive — if you made it to the store at all without being killed, sometimes twice. Also you were always thinking about abortion.

But then you wake up all the way and Donald Trump is protecting you and you are not thinking about abortion.

Mostly you feel wonderful all the time, happy and confident and not depressed because all that has been fixed. Every single problem the country had! Poof! And all you had to do was stop thinking about abortion.

Now, Donald Trump is back and you are not thinking about anything. All your anxieties are gone, now that men are handling all the country’s problems. It would have been a mistake to put a woman in charge! Fortunately, that did not happen. Fortunately, Donald Trump is guarding you. You are guarded! You are not worrying your pretty little head. Donald Trump is protecting you, just like the Bible said should happen. It did not mention him by name, but that was implied.

It was so tough in the before times, when you had to act as though you were a person. It was exhausting, like a dog standing on its hind legs all day. Of course, you weren’t a person, not really, and it is so much nicer to get to stop pretending. Much more restful this way. You are not thinking about abortion. Abortion is back in the hands of those who know best. The choice was the exhausting part; now, you get to be a blessed vessel and raise up as many children as they have decided is best. It is much nicer now.

Before, you thought abortion might even be a reason to vote. You voted! You could laugh, or cry, when you think about it. You aren’t sure which. Donald Trump will know.

Thank God the national nightmare of forcing you to make choices — as though your thoughts and desires mattered — is at an end. You wake up and smile at the picture of your patron saint, Donald Trump. You go to the market (JD Vance is in charge of eggs now; he has been lecturing the hens about the need to fertilize more of them) and buy one dozen. They cost exactly the right amount. You are not thinking about abortion.

Nothing is the matter here. You are so much more relaxed now that the country has no more problems. Sometimes, you don’t think that all of them were problems, but the thought is quick to vanish. You don’t think about abortion. How could you think about abortion? There is no abortion here. It is with the states where it belongs. It isn’t where you are. It’s not important. You’re not important. Donald Trump is protecting you.

A Frightening Seasonal Yard Display

Political Cartoon is by Tim Campbell at Counterpoint.com.
 

Having Empathy For Some People Is Very Hard


 

Wednesday, September 25, 2024

GOP Claims Undocumented Immigrants Vote - That Is NOT True


 

Morning Consult Poll Has Harris With 5-Point Advantage


The chart above is from the Morning Consult Poll -- done between September 20th and 22nd of a nationwide sample of 11,057 likely voters, with a 1 point margin of error. 

The Undecided Voter

 Political Cartoon is by Dave Whamond at Cagle.com.

Kamala Harris Wants To Build An Opportunity Economy

The following is part of an op-ed in The New York Times by Harvard economics professor Raj Chetty:

At the start of her debate with Donald Trump, Kamala Harris spoke about building an “opportunity economy.” What does that mean, and how can we create one?. . .

An opportunity economy prioritizes equality of opportunity rather than equality of outcomes. In such an economy, we all have the chance to achieve our potential, even if some people ultimately end up earning more than others. Right now, opportunity is not equally distributed in America: People’s chances of achieving success vary widely depending upon their parents’ income, racial background and ZIP code.

While views about income redistribution using taxes are divided, equality of opportunity is a principle that appeals to Americans across the political spectrum. Most people agree that it’s unfair if your fate is determined by the family you happen to be born into or where you grow up. . . .

A successful opportunity economy is built around three core themes. First, start in childhood. Research has shown that the roots of opportunity start at birth. Children who grow up in thriving environments — with good health and nutrition, high-quality education and housing, stable families and positive social influences — are much better positioned to achieve success later in life.

Every extra year of exposure to a better environment during childhood improves outcomes later in life. By the time people start working, it is much harder to change trajectories. It’s like starting to exercise to improve your health after you retire — it can still help, but it’s more effective to start earlier.

Second, focus on communities, not individuals, as the unit of change. Children’s chances of rising out of poverty vary dramatically across places. In some parts of America — such as Boston and Brownsville, Tex. — opportunity is plentiful, with many children from low-income families rising to the middle class and beyond when they grow up. In others, including Atlanta and Philadelphia, children from low-income families tend to remain in poverty throughout their lives.

Economic mobility varies substantially even within cities. When children move to better neighborhoods, especially earlier in childhood, their outcomes improve significantly, even if their own parents’ financial status remains unchanged. Likewise, when conditions in a community improve — for example, if the fraction of parents working in an area increases — children do better, even if nothing changes in their own families.

This evidence calls for a place-based approach to improving economic opportunity that targets specific areas and subgroups that lack opportunity rather than attempting to support families uniformly across communities.

The third key to an opportunity economy is to build social capital. The strongest predictor of differences in economic mobility across neighborhoods is the degree to which low- and high-income people are connected to one another. In communities where low-income people have many high-income friends, people born into poverty are much more likely to rise up. Connections matter for job referrals, but they’re perhaps more important for guidance in navigating complex decisions like where to live, go to college or start a business. Moreover, people are inspired to follow the paths of those they are connected to, particularly those with similar backgrounds. For example, when girls grow up around more female scientists in their community, they are more likely to become scientists themselves. When they grow up around more male scientists, there is no impact.