Wednesday, February 05, 2014

There Is NO Correlation Between Taxes And Employment


The Republican idea that lower taxes on the rich (and on corporations) is the best way to spur job creation sounds good on the surface. The problem with it is that economics just doesn't work that way. Just allowing the rich to keep more of the money they make doesn't mean they will spend any of that money they get to keep to create any new jobs. If it did, we would be swimming in new jobs in the United States right now -- because the rich (and the corporations) are making record-breaking income and profits (and the corporations currently have a record amount of cash on hand, trillions of dollars).

If the Republicans are right, why aren't those corporations spending that trillions of dollars on new job creation? They are not creating new jobs because the tax rate has nothing to do with job creation. The rich (and their Republican lackeys) know this, but few of them want to admit it -- because if most Americans realized this basic economic fact, they probably wouldn't be willing to further lower the top tax rate (and might even want to raise it a bit).

All one has to do is look at the historical charts above. The top one is the unemployment rate and the bottom one is the top tax rate -- both since right after World War II. There is no correlation between the two. Unemployment has been fairly low in times where the top tax rate was very high, and conversely, unemployment has been very high in times when the top tax rate has been low. Note that in the 1950's and 1960's (a time when the economy was booming) the unemployment rate remained pretty low (never topping 6%) while the top tax rate was extremely high (70% or more). Also note that the highest unemployment rate was in 1983, when the top tax rate had been cut by over 20%.

Those examples alone show the Republican notion that tax cuts create jobs is a LIE. The economic truth is that there is only one thing that determines whether jobs or created or destroyed (other than outsourcing, which destroys jobs even in a good economy) -- and that is the level of demand for the goods and services of businesses. When the demand is high, business will hire new workers to help them meet that high demand. When demand is low, business will lay off workers not needed to meet the low demand (because keeping a worker not needed just cuts into profit). This is not a hard concept, and it is one understood by all good business men and women.

Let me add further that cutting the top tax rate does not create demand any more than it creates jobs. That is because there are not enough people making enough money to pay the top tax rate to effect demand in the economy (and those they do make that much already have the funds to purchase whatever they want). Demand can only be increased by putting more disposable income (money) in the hands of the masses (the bottom 80% - 90% of the population), people who are far more likely to spend that increase in income -- and that increase in spending by the masses is what increases demand (which increases profits and job creation).

In short, all Americans must once again be allowed to share in the country's rising productivity -- the working and middle classes through rising wages and the poor through improved social programs. Allowing all citizens to benefit from rising productivity (instead of letting the rich hog all of the rise) is the way to create demand (which creates jobs) and put our economy back on track. Sharing productivity works, while tax cuts (which are mostly enjoyed by the rich) do not.

We used to share rising productivity in this country, and expect the rich to pay a progressively larger share of income in taxes. Now we do neither -- and that is what has caused this economic mess we find ourselves in. It is also what keeps us from fixing the economy.

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