Two More Senate Seats Look Tough For The GOP To Win

Yesterday I posted about three senate seats the Republicans thought they could easily win on their road to taking over the U.S. Senate -- Arkansas, Kentucky, and Georgia. They thought, since these were all red states, that they could snatch the Arkansas seat away from the Democrats and hold on to their seats in Kentucky and Georgia -- and they really needed all three of those seats to have a chance to take the Senate. Unfortunately for the GOP, that's not going so well right now. Polls show the Democrat with a good lead in Arkansas, and both the Kentucky and Georgia seats are a dead heat between the two parties.

Now there is more bad news for the GOP. They were really counting on winning two seats currently held by Democrats in other red states -- North Carolina and Alaska. Polls show the incumbent Democrats leading in both states -- with Kay Hagan holding a tiny 2 point lead in North Carolina, and Mark Begich holding a more substantial lead against all the Republicans hopefuls in Alaska (which hasn't held its primary yet).

The chart above shows the demographic breakdown of the North Carolina race. The chart below shows how Begich is doing against the various Republicans (and others).

The Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina was done between May 9th and 11th of 877 registered voters, and has a margin of error of 3.3 points.

The Public Policy Polling survey in Alaska was done between May 8th and 11th of 582 registered voters, and has a margin of error of 4.1 points.