The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between March 13th and 16th of a nationwide sample of 1,595 adults (including 1,429 registered voters). The margin of error is 3.3 points for adults and 3.2 points for registered voters.
The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between February 6th and 9th of a nationwide sample of 1,730 adults (including 1,551 registered voters). The margin of error is 3.1 points for adults and 3 points for registered voters.
The charts above are from the YouGov Poll -- done between January 9th and 11th of a nationwide sample of 1,129 adults, with a 3.9 point margin of error.
The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between November 15th and 17th of a nationwide sample of 1,549 adults (including 1,382 registered voters). The margin of error is 3.5 points for adults and 3.2 points for registered voters.
I understand why he is saying that. Domestic violence cannot be controlled by flooding the streets with soldiers. It happens within a home, and usually involves family members or significant others.
But when police are called to quell a domestic disturbance, it usually involves a crime - a violent crime. Someone has been assaulted - maybe even seriously hurt or killed.
Consider the following facts (from new-hope.org):
* One in 4 women will experience domestic violence during her lifetime. The same number (one in four) of GLBT (Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual and Transgender) individuals also experience domestic violence.
* Domestic violence is the leading cause of injury to women – more than car accidents, muggings, and rapes combined.
* Every 9 seconds in the U.S. a woman is assaulted or beaten.
* Every year, 1 in 3 women who is a victim of homicide is murdered by her current or former partner.
Domestic violence is not just a crime. It is a plague in this country.And Trump's downplaying of it does a disservice to its innocent victims.
--------------------------------------------------------------
But even if domestic violence statistics were deleted, Trump still would not be telling the truth about crimes in the District of Columbia.
Paul Krugman on Trump's latest bit of political theater:
Ever since that latest weak jobs report, Trump has been frantically trying to convince the American public that the economy is doing great. He is failing, and predictably so. Experience shows that trying to talk up the economy when people don’t perceive it as good never works, even if the data are favorable. It’s even less likely to work when the data actually aren’t good.
On the other hand, telling people things are bad even when they’re actually good canwork. This is sometimes true when it comes to the economy. It’s definitely true when we’re talking about crime.
In his press conference announcing that he was seizing power in the District of Columbia, Trump declared that
"Our capital city has been overtaken by violent gangs and bloodthirsty criminals, roving mobs of wild youth, drugged out maniacs and homeless people."
The media were in general pretty good at pointing out that crime in DC has in fact been falling rapidly. According to the U.S. attorney’s office, violent crime is at a 30-year low.
But will Trump be universally ridiculed for his absurd claims? Will people understand that what we’re seeing, aside from an attempt to seize even more power, is an attempt to change the subject from the weakening economy and the Epstein affair?
I’m not sure.
Residents of DC will surely notice that Trump’s description of a violence-ridden dystopia bears no resemblance to the city they actually inhabit. But we know that crime is an issue on which people tend to believe that things are getting worse even when they are getting markedly better.
One possible answer is that there are lies, damned lies and statistics. Maybe official crime numbers are, as Trump would say, RIGGED — although that would be really hard to do with murders, which are kind of hard either to fabricate or to conceal, and have fallen even more than overall crime. Or maybe people’s lived experience just doesn’t match what the crime data say.
part of the answer is that many Americans believe that crime is running rampant — just not where they happen to live. Fox News tells suburban and small-town Americans that New York and Los Angeles are crime-ridden hellscapes, and they believe it.
According to Gallup, last year 56 percent of Americans believed that crime in the United States was an extremely or very serious problem — but only 14 percent said it was an extremely or very serious problem “in the area where you live.”
Anyone who either lives there are looks at crime data knows that this is malicious nonsense. But we can’t take it for granted that the rest of the country will understand that that he’s lying.
And if I may say, it’s the responsibility of the news media to make that clear. Don’t say “Trump makes contentious claims about DC crime.” Don’t say that there’s “dispute over DC crime data.” Just say that he’s lying.
The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between July 25th and 28th of a nationwide sample of 1,777 adults (including 1,610 registered voters). The margin of error is 3.4 points for adults and 3.0 points for registered voters.
Donald Trump has defied political gravity. He has survived the unsurvivable, normalized the abnormal and bulldozed through every red line drawn by his predecessors. And yet he just might win — again.
Pull any one of these 10 Trump scandals out of a hat and apply it to any other politician — or even just a typical American. More likely than not, it would end their career.
He hasn't seemed to slow down in the four years since. In recent weeks, Trump has lied about Haitian immigrants eating pets in Ohio, called Jan. 6 "a day of love," and attended a 9/11 memorial with a 9/11 truther.
The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between July 7th and 9th of a nationwide sample of 1,620 adults (including 1,443 registered voters). The margin of error was 3.2 points for adults and 3.1 points for registered voters.
Unfortunately for them, none of that is true (see the charts above). The rate of inflation has dropped significantly, and some grocery stores are now lowering their prices. The number of immigrants at the southern border has also dropped significantly. The murder rate (and that of other violent crimes) is way down, and no where near record levels. And the amount of bill being produced by the U.S. is at a record level.
The GOP is hoping voters won't check the facts. They are hoping their lies will be believed. Don't let Tham fool you!
The charts above reflect the results of the New York Times / Siena College Poll -- done between April 7th and 11th of a nationwide sample of 1,059 registered voters, with a 3.3 point margin of error.
Donald Trump faces 91 criminal indictments in four different venues. And many of those charges could actually result in his imprisonment if convicted.
Trump has tried every trick in the book to rid himself of these charges. He has declared that he is immune to many of these charges because he was president. That was shot down by the D.C. Court of Criminal Appeals. That court found Trump was just as subject to being charged for criminal activity as any other American citizen.
Trump has also tried to delay the trials he faces by filing appeal after appeal in many courts, including the Supreme Court. His hope is to delay any trials until after the November election. If elected president again, he thinks he would be immune to facing trials, and maybe even able to pardon himself.
Some of the most dangerous (to him) charges he faces are those brought against him by the District Attorney in Atlanta. There, he faces a RICO charges for actively trying to illegally overturn the legitimate election results in Georgia.
And he is trying a dirty trick to rid himself of the Atlanta charges. His attorneys learned of a romantic relationship between the Atlanta D.A. and one of the prosecutors she appointed to help with Trump's case. Trump's attorneys have charged that the D.A. appointed the prosecutor so he could get payments from government contracts and she would receive illegal kickbacks. Those charges have resulted in a hearing.
In the hearing, Trump's lawyers have tried to drag the D.A. through the mud -- questioning the prosecutor, the D.A., and even her father about the sexual relationship. But outside of trying to smear the D.A. with lurid sexual questions, Trump's lawyers have been unable to establish any illegalities.
They were hoping if they could smear the D.A. badly enough, she would be removed from the case. The case would then be given to another jurisdiction -- maybe even one that would dismiss the case, or at least not pursue it aggressively. That should NOT happen!
Trump has claimed innocence. If he's innocent, then he should go to court and let his lawyers prove it.
Trump's attempts to smear the D.A. are despicable. Her love life is none of his business - especially since he has such a poor sexual history himself (proven sex abuse, obvious misogyny, and multiple divorces). This smear attempt is over the line - and he knows it! He is just desperate, and running scared.
Donald Trump is facing about 91 criminal charges in several different courts. Yet many polls are showing a very close race between Donald Trump and President Joe Biden. According to this poll, Trump would lose big if convicted of a crime -- with 59% saying they would not vote for him.
That has me thinking the voting public seems to have a very short memory. Hasn't Trump already been convicted in several courts of criminal conduct?
A court found that Trump (and his sons) created a fraudulent charity which benefitted only his sons and himself. They were fined and barred from creating another charity.
A court found Trump guilty of creating a fraudulent school. He was ordered to refund the money paid into it by "students".
A court convicted Trump of sexually abusing (raping) E. Jean Carroll, and then defaming her. He was ordered to pay millions in damages.
A court has found Trump guilty of fraud by inflating his property value for insurance and loans, and then deflating it for tax purposes. That court is currently considering how much Trump will have to pay for his guilty conduct.
I will grant you that all of the above convictions were in civil courts, but he could not have been convicted and fined if none of the actions he engaged in were crimes. Fraud is a crime, and so is sexual abuse (rape). Being convicted in a civil court instead of a criminal court doesn't make fraud or sexual abuse any less a crime.
Trump may or may not be convicted in a criminal court for one or all of the 91 indictments he's facing, and it may or may not happen before the November election. But it should not matter. We already know that Trump is a criminal, because he has broken the law.
We have already seen enough. Those who do not want a criminal in the White House should be voting against Trump. His criminal conduct makes him a criminal, whether found true in a civil or criminal court.
