Thursday, August 27, 2015
More Guns Is Not The Solution - It is The Problem
The graphic above may be shocking, but it is true. In 2015, which is now 8 months old, the United States has averaged one mass shooting every single day. That's with the definition of a mass shooting being that four people or more are shot.
The latest shooting being covered by the mainstream media concerns the shooting of two news personalities in Virginia (both of whom were killed) and the person they were interviewing (who thankfully is still alive). Using the above definition, this doesn't even qualify as a "mass shooting" -- but it does once again point out that we have a serious problem with gun violence in the United States.
I know the gun-lovers will whine that this was a mental illness problem, and not a gun problem. They are half-right. The shooter was mentally ill. And we (Republican legislators mostly) have cut far too much funding from care for the mentally ill. That funding badly needs to be restored and people like this shooter, who exhibited many instances of rage in the past, need to be forced to get treatment.
But like it or not, we do have a gun problem in this country. Although only about a third of households have a gun, there are more than 300 million guns floating around in this country -- nearly enough for every man, woman, and child to have one. That is simply ridiculous.
But even more ridiculous is the fact that any terrorist, criminal, or dangerously mentally ill person in this country can easily and legally buy any kind of gun they want. We have a gun sales background check law, but that law has gaping holes in it. In fact, about 40% of all the guns sold each year in the U.S. are sold legally without a background check being done. That should not be allowed.
By buying at a gun show, through the internet or by mail, or from an individual, anyone (regardless of their background) can legally buy any kind of gun they want -- from a handgun to an assault rifle. It is time to fix that. No gun should be allowed to be sold (or given) to any individual with a background check first being done.
I know many right-wingers and gun-lovers will whine that this violates their Second Amendment right -- but that is not true. The Supreme Court is very clear on this. They have ruled that background checks do not violate the Constitution, and not everyone has the right to own a gun -- only honest and law-abiding citizens have that right. And most Americans agree, with about 80% wanting the holes in the background check law closed.
Sadly though, that is not likely to happen. Too many politicians have sold out to the wishes of the NRA, and the NRA has sold out to the wishes of the gun manufacturers. In this nation, the deaths of U.S. citizens is just not as important as the economic well-being of the gun manufacturers. That was not the intent of the Second Amendment, and it should not be used to accomplish that.
Closing the holes in the background check law won't prevent all gun killings, but it would prevent many -- and that's why it should be done. Lives are more important than profits.
Net Favorability Of U.S. Businesses/Sectors By The Public
I just thought this Gallup Poll was interesting. It shows the net favorability (favorable views minus unfavorable views) of the differing sectors of our society. Note that the most unpopular are the federal government (-29%), the oil and gas industry (-13%), and the pharmaceutical industry (-8%). This makes me wonder -- with these businesses being so unpopular, why does our government continue to give them huge subsidies? It's not like they weren't making billions in profits (without the subsidies).
The survey was conducted between August 5th and 9th of a random national sample of 1,011 adults, and has a margin of error of 6 points.
Trump Represents The True Feelings Of "Conservatives"
From Paul Krugman in the New York Times:
Frank Bruni marvels at polls indicating that Donald Trump, with his multiple marriages and casinos, is the preferred candidate among Republican evangelicals. Others are shocked to see a crude mercantilist make so much headway in the alleged party of free markets. What happened to conservative principles?
Actually, nothing — because those alleged principles were never real. Conservative religiosity, conservative faith in markets, were never about living a godly life or letting the invisible hand promote entrepreneurship. Instead, it was all as Corey Robin describes it: Conservatism is
a reactionary movement, a defense of power and privilege against democratic challenges from below, particularly in the private spheres of the family and the workplace.
It’s really about who’s boss, and making sure that the man in charge stays boss. Trump is admired for putting women and workers in their place, and it doesn’t matter if he covets his neighbor’s wife or demands trade wars.
The point is that Trump isn’t a diversion, he’s a revelation, bringing the real motivations of the movement out into the open.
And I might add that this feeling of keeping the "boss" in power extends to keeping white privilege also. Racists like David Dukes (and others) have been quick to jump on the Trump bandwagon. They have looked at what Trump has had to say about brown-skinned immigrants, and believe he wants the same kind of country they do -- a country where Whites are in charge.The Republican base has been exposed, and their brand of "conservatism" is a rancid one.
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Will Christie Be Dumped From The "Big Kids" Debate ?
We're just about three weeks away from the next Republican presidential debate. It will be held on September 16th at the Reagan Library in California, and it will be hosted by CNN this time. CNN has said they will follow the lead of Fox News and restrict the main debate to 10 participants -- and hold a secondary debate for those who can't make the top 10.
In the last debate, Carly Fiorina was relegated to the secondary debate, but it seems obvious that she will be in the major debate this time. That brings up the question -- who will be booted out to make room for Fiorina. It looks like it could be Chris Christie.
The chart above shows the RealClearPolitics average of the major polls taken in the month of August (Rasmussen Poll, Fox News Poll, CNN/ORC Poll). The top 10 candidates range from Donald Trump at a 22% average down to Rand Paul, John Kasich, and Mike Huckabee, who all have a 4.3% average. Christie is in 11th place with a poll average of 3.3%.
There will be more polls in the next two-three weeks, and things could change -- but if Christie doesn't start doing better, he's the guy that gets demoted.
NOTE -- You may note that Pataki and Gilmore are not on the chart. They couldn't even average the pitiful 0.3% that Graham got.
Sanders Leads In New Hampshire (But Nowhere Else)
Congratulations are in order for Bernie Sanders and his supporters. A couple of weeks ago, he was drawing close to Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire -- and now he has taken a 7 point lead in that early primary state. I'm not surprised. New Hampshire borders Sanders' home state of Vermont, and if he is a viable candidate, he should be able to win there.
But that's all of the good news for Sanders. Four other state polls were released and a national poll, and he trails big in all of them -- 34 points in Iowa, 33 points in Florida, 30 points in Ohio, 26 points in Pennsylvania, and 32.7 points in the national poll. Sanders has been unable to find any traction at all outside of Vermont and New Hampshire.
You can go here for a closer look at these polls:
New Hampshire
Iowa
Florida-Ohio-Pennsylvania
National
Kasich Leads In Ohio - Trumps Leads Everywhere Else
We've finally found a state where Donald Trump is not in the lead. A new poll shows John Kasich leading Trump by 6 points in Ohio. Katich is the first candidate to outpoll Trump in his own home state (Kasich is the governor of Ohio). State polls were also released for four other states and a national poll. Trump leads Kasich by 24 points in New Hampshire, leads Bush by 4 points in Florida, leads Carson by 11 points in Pennsylvania, leads Carson by 15 points in South Carolina, and leads Carson by 27.1 points in the national poll.
You can go here for a closer look at these polls:
New Hampshire
South Carolina
Florida-Ohio-Pennsylvania
National
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